Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks

doi:10.1038/srep31484

	Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks
	Huang, Chunlin 1,2; Liu, Xingwu 1; Sun, Shiwei 1; Li, Shuai Cheng 3; Deng, Minghua 4; He, Guangxue 5; Zhang, Haicang 1,2; Wang, Chao 1,2; Zhou, Yang 5; Zhao, Yanlin 5; Bu, Dongbo 1,6
	2016-08-16
发表期刊	SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN	2045-2322
卷号	6 页码:11
摘要	In this study, we present representative human contact networks among Chinese college students. Unlike schools in the US, human contacts within Chinese colleges are extremely clustered, partly due to the highly organized lifestyle of Chinese college students. Simulations of influenza spreading across real contact networks are in good accordance with real influenza records; however, epidemic simulations across idealized scale-free or small-world networks show considerable overestimation of disease prevalence, thus challenging the widely-applied idealized human contact models in epidemiology. Furthermore, the special contact pattern within Chinese colleges results in disease spreading patterns distinct from those of the US schools. Remarkably, class cancelation, though simple, shows a mitigating power equal to quarantine/vaccination applied on similar to 25% of college students, which quantitatively explains its success in Chinese colleges during the SARS period. Our findings greatly facilitate reliable prediction of epidemic prevalence, and thus should help establishing effective strategies for respiratory infectious diseases control.
DOI	10.1038/srep31484
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2012CB316502] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31270834] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[61272318] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11175224] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11121403] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31171262] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31428012] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31471246] ; Open Project Program of State Key Laboratory of Theoretical Physics, Institute of Theoretical Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China[Y4KF171CJ1] ; GRF[CityU.11203115] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2015CB910303] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2016YFA0502303] ; National Key Basic Research Project of China[2014CB744403] ; National Scientific Key Program[2014ZX10003002]
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000381503100001
出版者	NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
引用统计	被引频次：11[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.204/handle/2XEOYT63/8224
专题	中国科学院计算技术研究所期刊论文_英文
通讯作者	Bu, Dongbo
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Comp Technol, Key Lab Intelligent Informat Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.City Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 4.Peking Univ, Sch Math Sci, Ctr Quantitat Biol, Ctr Stat Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Theoret Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Huang, Chunlin,Liu, Xingwu,Sun, Shiwei,et al. Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2016,6:11.
APA	Huang, Chunlin.,Liu, Xingwu.,Sun, Shiwei.,Li, Shuai Cheng.,Deng, Minghua.,...&Bu, Dongbo.(2016).Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,6,11.
MLA	Huang, Chunlin,et al."Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 6(2016):11.